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Credit Card Applications » News » Other » Analysts Warn Card Defaults will Rise

Analysts Warn Card Defaults will Rise

July 18, 2009
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Despite the recent news hogging headlines about the sudden unexpected drop in default rates among banks and credit issuers, experts are saying that the trend can soon reverse.

According to analysts, the U.S. saw far fewer defaults in recent months because of the Federal economic stimulus plan and the issuance of tax refunds. Many Americans who are on the verge of being tagged as credit delinquents are using their tax incomes to pay off debts and settle loans.

The nation's largest banks and credit card companies are expecting to see more cardholders fall back on their regular payments as the nation's unemployment rate continues to rise. The Bank of America, JP Morgan & Chase, and American Express can expect more credit card defaults in the coming months as Americans run out of money from their tax refunds to pay off their mounting debts.

Many economists and industry experts are growing increasingly concerned over the increasing number of consumers failing to settle their loans within 30 to 59 days. Card issuers and financial institutions often consider delinquencies as precursors to charge-offs.

To date, the credit card industry has suffered $82.4 billion in losses due to charge-offs or the amount of money that banks do not expect to be repaid by consumers. This figure is expected to rise if the charge-off rate reaches 18 to 20 percent, the Federal Reserve said in a statement.

More consumers are also going through shifts in spending behaviors, experts noted. Americans are allotting more of their income to their savings rather than purchase products and services.

The increasing default and charge-off rates are also forcing many financial institutions to radically change their policies on issuing credits. Most banks and creditors are becoming stingy on issuing new credit cards to consumers because of the current economic situation.

American mailboxes also received considerably less mail solicitations from credit card companies - a sign, experts say, that issuers are keen on recovering losses rather than giving out credit. In 2005, banks sent close to 6 billion solicitations to consumers through the mail. Last year, however, only an estimated 2 billion were mailed.

Analysts also say that charge-offs and unemployment rates are closely connected and many banks are monitoring the number of unemployed Americans to come up with new policies. At present, the unemployment rate has risen to 9.5 percent and is expected to reach the 10-percent mark by the end of the present year or early next year. The number of jobless Americans this year is the highest in almost 26 years.

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  • Larry
    With the Virgin / Barclaycard signature offer, there seems to be some consumer deception or maybe even outright fraud goin on.   I decided to jump on this offer..  read all the info on it..  was approved for their platinum card, paid the fee, then was only awarded 10,000 points instead of the advertised 20,000.   When i inquired about the less than advertised bonus points, Barclaycard claims only Signiture Visa cardmembers get the 20,000..  as a platinum cardholder, you don't qualify for that level of bonus, so you get 10k instead.   Well, in their current ongoing promotions, it states plain as day that....    Applicants approved for the Visa Signature or Platinum Card with $49 annual fee will receive 20,000 Bonus Points awarded to your Virgin America Rewards Account at the close of the first billing statement in which you make your first purchase or balance transfer (that is not returned or rescinded) and have paid the Annual Fee on the account (and such fee is not rescinded). They don't mention anything about a separate program for platinum cardholders..  However, trying to get someone to resolve this issue with either Virgin or Barclaycard seems to be rather impossible.. Seems to me they're simply drawing people in with the fraudulent offer, then simply saying, oh, we're sorry you don't qualify..  but thanks for signing up for our garbage credit card with insane fees..   
  • CreditLandCom
    Thank you for sharing your experience with us. We have reviewed this offer and you are correct, nowhere it is mentioned that 20,000 Bonus can become a 10,000 Bonus all of a sudden... We will mention this in our review of this card so others can make an informed decision. Another way to get Virgin miles is to get an American Express charge card: The Business Gold Rewards Card® now offers 50,000 Miles, though you do have to spend $5,000 in the first three months of card membership to get it. It also has $0 introductory annual fee for the first year, then $175. http://www.credit-land.com/details/the-business-gold-rewards-card-from-american-express-open.php Premier Rewards Gold Card now offers 25,000 Miles, though you do have to spend $2,000 during your first three months of Card membership. It also has annual fee of $0 for the first year, then $175. http://www.credit-land.com/details/american-express-premier-rewards-gold-card.php While we do not know If any of these offers make sense to you, we are at least sure that you will get advertised bonus in full if you decide to get them... Conversion rates for Virgin America are: 100 Elevate Points = 200 Membership Rewards® Points All the best.
  • Deborah Ellsworth
     would very much like to start a new credit history  by making payments on time I would tohave a credit card that is NOT PREPAYID! I don't need a card with a high limit just something to start a new credit history. Thank You Deborah Ellsworth
  • Deborah Ellsworth
    I would very much like to start a new credit line to get back on track. I DO NOT WANT A PREPAID CARD!! This new credit card if I am approved does not have to hace a high limit just something for me to start over again and prove myself ThankYou. D Ellsworth
  • Miss Edna
    there is a huge problem with the RFIP chip: it is easily compromised. There are already 'readers' in the form of what looks like a cellphone in a case, that scans all the info in the chip by merely walking near a person -- this 'reader' penetrates leather, cloth, spandex, etc. The only thing it will NOT penetrate is METAL. Perhaps one has seen commercials touting metal credit card cases. Here is my hint for a free fix: cut a piece of aluminum foil or use the foil that is used to keep foods fresh, like coffee. Cut it so that when folded once, it forms a sleeve for your credit card. place the credit card in the sleeve, then place the sleeve in your wallet.
  • Robin Parks
    I am looking to apply for the AARP Visa signature card from Chase that offers $100 after spend $500 in first 3 months, no annual fee and 0% interest first year; I don't want to mail in offer because of having to write in Social security #. Can you direct me to the proper on-line site?
  • CreditLandCom
    The Chase bank cards are not currently available at Credit-Land.com, but you can consider applying for the Citi® Dividend Platinum Select® Visa® Card - $100 Cash Back. The cards has similar terms and cash back program.
  • Becky
    This is Becky Now what do I do just waqit for acard to come to me?
  • CreditLandCom
    Once you have applied, you should receive a letter within 10 business days letting you know if you were approved and when your card will arrive. If you did not receive any letter or notification from the issuer, you should contact them directly. Also, you should contact the issuer if you’ve been waiting for your credit card longer than 30 days. Since we are not a bank and don’t issue credit cards, we cannot give you any information about your application or credit card.
  • SavingStar
    Thank you for posting about SavingStar. Just to clarify one sentence in your article, we have over 5 million members (not 500). Thanks, Josh
  • CreditLandCom
    Sorry for the misprint. We’ve corrected the sentence. Thank you for noticing that.
  • Eric
  • John Stifler
    I think almost all people that familiar with internet, will hardly fall to these scams, but for now, I think people that use computer but don't familiar with internet things, and they has a phone line at their home, they should be warned more than internet users. I think senior people usually got scammed by these kind of "tech support" scams. Found so many reports about them since years ago at complain board sites like http://callercenter.com. We as younger, and know more about this stuff, should help and share information to they who needed it, especially older people.
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